Trump entered his second presidency insisting he alone could restore order and prosperity, yet the numbers now capture a nation exhausted by the cost of that promise. The ICE shootings in Minneapolis became a grim symbol: citizens killed on American streets, their final moments dissected on video while officials rushed to justify deadly force. For many, it felt less like security than state power turned inward.

At the same time, Trump’s saber-rattling over Greenland, tariff threats, and casual talk of delayed elections deepened a sense of instability. Voters who once tolerated the chaos in exchange for cheaper groceries and steadier jobs are no longer seeing the payoff. With approval stuck around four in ten and midterms looming, Republicans fear a referendum not just on policy, but on fatigue itself. The question hanging over Washington is no longer whether people are angry—it’s how much longer they are willing to endure it.