Poll Reveals Winner in Hypothetical 2028 Race Between Trump and Obama
Voters Asked to Imagine the Impossible
A recent poll of over 1,000 registered U.S. voters explored a provocative question: What if both Donald Trump and Barack Obama ran for president in 2028?
Currently, the U.S. Constitution prohibits any individual from being elected president more than twice. Both Obama and Trump have already served two terms, making them ineligible under current law—unless that law changes.
Trump Hints at a Return
Despite the constitutional limit, Trump has floated the idea of a return. In an interview with NBC News earlier this year, he claimed he was “not joking” and suggested there were “methods” that could enable his return to the White House.
If such legal loopholes were possible, could the same apply to Obama? That’s the scenario the Daily Mail and J.L. Partners posed to voters.
Obama Leads in Head-to-Head Matchup
Of the 1,013 registered voters surveyed:
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52% said they would vote for Barack Obama
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41% favored Donald Trump
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7% were undecided or chose another candidate
Even with a 3.1% margin of error, Obama maintained a comfortable lead.
Support Among Key Voter Groups
Obama’s advantage came largely from:
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Hispanic voters, 73% of whom backed him
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Black voters, with 68% showing support
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Independents, where Obama led 50% to Trump’s 39%
These groups helped create an 11-point lead for the former president.
Current Approval Ratings Show Divide
The same poll offered insight into Trump’s current approval:
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49% approved of his presidential performance
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51% disapproved
Trump Would Beat Clinton in Rematch
Interestingly, the poll also asked about a Trump vs. Hillary Clinton rematch:
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44% would vote for Trump
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43% would choose Clinton
This razor-thin margin suggests that Clinton’s support base has weakened slightly compared to Obama’s.
Trump Calls the Hypothetical Matchup “A Good One”
While the Constitution blocks any such showdown for now, Trump seemed excited by the idea. Speaking to Fox News in March, he said, “I’d love that… That would be a good one. I’d like that.”
